Monmouth at Western Michigan

Week 2 · Sep 12Waldo Stadium · Kalamazoo, MI

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineWestern Michigan -20Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusWestern Michigan -29.58-book consensus · observed Sep 12, 6:15 PM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~9.5 pts toward Western MichiganExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?Monmouth 14 · Western Michigan 49
Pregame OV Line
Western Michigan -20
Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
Western Michigan -29.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Western Michigan by 35

Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Monmouth 13.6%Western Michigan 86.4%

Compare Teams

MonmouthVSWestern Michigan

Model View

Overall Rating—-6.0 · #89
Offense Rating—-4.3
Defense Rating—-1.7

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play—0.10
Offense Success Rate—42.3%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed—0.05
Defense Success Rate Allowed—37.5%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total—7.0
Playoff Odds—<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank—122nd