Central Connecticut at Toledo

Week 2 · Sep 12Glass Bowl · Toledo, OH
Central ConnecticutFCS
@
Toledo6–2-5.8 vs. avg · #88

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineToledo -26.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusToledo -367-book consensus · observed Sep 12, 3:15 PM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~9.5 pts toward ToledoExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?Central Connecticut 10 · Toledo 63
Pregame OV Line
Toledo -26.5
Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
Toledo -36
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Toledo by 53

Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Central Connecticut 4.1%Toledo 95.9%

Compare Teams

Central ConnecticutVSToledo

Model View

Overall Rating—-5.8 · #88
Offense Rating—-3.3
Defense Rating—-2.6

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play—0.20
Offense Success Rate—44.6%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed—-0.08
Defense Success Rate Allowed—33.1%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total—7.7
Playoff Odds—<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank—135th