Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Nevada enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyNew Mexico at Nevada
Week 10 · Nov 6Mackay Stadium · Reno, NV
Matchup View
Opening Line
New Mexico -10Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
New Mexico -10Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Current Market ConsensusNew Mexico -1011-book consensus · observed Nov 2, 12:33 PM EST
New Mexico -1011-book consensus · observed Nov 2, 12:33 PM ESTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Other conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Nevada enters after losing its previous lined game by 27 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHome-underdog value Inconclusive
Nevada is the home underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Nevada lost the most recent meeting with New Mexico.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyClose-win regression Developing estimate
New Mexico enters after a one-score win in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,658 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyStraight-up hot streak Developing estimate
New Mexico has won at least three consecutive lined games.
Studied in 1,465 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRoad-favorite strength Inconclusive
New Mexico is the road favorite in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study Opening LineNew Mexico -10Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
New Mexico -10Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusNew Mexico -10Earliest observed 11-book consensus
New Mexico -10Earliest observed 11-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Current Win Probability
New Mexico 77.7%Nevada 22.3%
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Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
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Market consensus · New Mexico -10
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