Montana State at Nevada

Week 2 · Sep 12Mackay Stadium · Reno, NV

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineNevada 0Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusMontana State -4.510-book consensus · observed Sep 12, 10:15 PM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~4.5 pts toward Montana StateExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?Montana State 20 · Nevada 7
Pregame OV Line
Nevada 0
Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
Montana State -4.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Montana State by 13

Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Montana State 80.6%Nevada 19.4%

Compare Teams

Montana StateVSNevada

Model View

Overall Rating—-8.7 · #97
Offense Rating—-5.7
Defense Rating—-3.0

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play—0.03
Offense Success Rate—37.1%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed—0.19
Defense Success Rate Allowed—42.6%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total—4.3
Playoff Odds—<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank—105th