Montana State at Nevada

Week 2 · Sep 12Mackay Stadium · Reno, NV

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThis preserves what the matchup looked like before kickoff.
Locked
Opening LineNevada 0Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusMontana State -4.51-book consensus · updated Sep 9
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~4.5 pts toward Montana StateExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?Montana State 20 · Nevada 7
Pregame OV Line
Nevada 0
Final recorded market
Montana State -4.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Montana State by 13

This preserves the pregame comparison beside the result. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Montana State 80.6%Nevada 19.4%

Compare Teams

Montana StateVSNevada

Model View

Overall Rating-11.9 · #112
Offense Rating-7.3
Defense Rating-4.6

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.03
Offense Success Rate37.1%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.19
Defense Success Rate Allowed42.6%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total4.3
Playoff Odds<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank104th