North Carolina Central at East Carolina

Week 4 · Sep 26Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium · Greenville, NC
North Carolina CentralFCS
@
East Carolina4–4-8.1 vs. avg · #95

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineEast Carolina -26.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusEast Carolina -37.57-book consensus · observed Sep 26, 3:45 PM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~11 pts toward East CarolinaExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?North Carolina Central 9 · East Carolina 42
Pregame OV Line
East Carolina -26.5
Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
East Carolina -37.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
East Carolina by 33

Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
North Carolina Central 4.2%East Carolina 95.8%

Compare Teams

North Carolina CentralVSEast Carolina

Model View

Overall Rating—-8.1 · #95
Offense Rating—-5.7
Defense Rating—-2.4

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play—0.19
Offense Success Rate—45.8%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed—0.05
Defense Success Rate Allowed—37.6%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total—7.1
Playoff Odds—<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank—95th